Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.552929 1.818169 2.094614 2.402620 2.734657 3.080399 3.466224
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.099678 1.457484 1.854426 2.320444 2.846152 3.415165 4.072171
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.850263 1.244141 1.702391 2.260620 2.909571 3.629254 4.477402
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.669377 1.083301 1.587791 2.223524 2.982235 3.840994 4.870033
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.563349 0.996983 1.546892 2.259057 3.126431 4.123319 5.332509
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.467159 0.909273 1.493218 2.269850 3.233968 4.357662 5.735621
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.371851 0.808172 1.411147 2.235901 3.279825 4.513536 6.042554
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.342466 0.799243 1.448525 2.351563 3.507472 4.884307 6.600850
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.318330 0.794584 1.489298 2.469967 3.737575 5.257693 7.162451
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.301061 0.798228 1.540059 2.600528 3.982526 5.649090 7.745993
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.290822 0.811836 1.604081 2.748312 4.249276 6.067348 8.362356
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.264269 0.793623 1.619879 2.829871 4.430975 6.381685 8.854639
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.217620 0.736317 1.579905 2.841415 4.532329 6.610066 9.260325
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.159021 0.644091 1.480451 2.766848 4.520328 6.698544 9.498669
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.112551 0.562301 1.388254 2.695269 4.506300 6.779548 9.723347
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.080407 0.501175 1.322544 2.656193 4.530878 6.905187 9.999062
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.063954 0.474216 1.311335 2.694789 4.658273 7.159769 10.432655
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.047380 0.439734 1.283771 2.706946 4.748509 7.366379 10.806723
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029886 0.390867 1.225449 2.669358 4.768476 7.481675 11.066582
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027994 0.399980 1.274769 2.797071 5.016719 7.890739 11.692611
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026425 0.409928 1.325688 2.927504 5.269176 8.305844 12.327012
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.025831 0.424076 1.384822 3.071054 5.540359 8.745768 12.993249
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.026465 0.444118 1.455610 3.233193 5.837951 9.220474 13.703786